11/10/2018

Thursday 11th October 2018


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Chelsmford – (6.45) (Conditions) (Class 3) (1m 2f)


A big welcome to Thursday’s Preview and today’s race that i’m having a look at is the 6.45 at Chelmsford which is a conditions event that’s contested over a distance of a mile and two furlongs. There’s not much separating the market principals at all with a lot of betting firms having different favourites. However It’s a Goldolphin representative that looks to be just heading affairs in the form of Big Challenge (3/1) for the Saeed bin Suroor yard. He comes here off the back of a 547 day lay off and was last seen when finishing second behind the smart Monarch’s Glen, as well as having other smart types behind him that day. It remains to be seen whether he’s retained the clear potential shown when last seen, but if so he could well be a big player here with talented claimer Jason Watson on board.

One of the horses battling it out for favouritism is the smart Spark Plug (10/3) for Brian Meehan and Jim Crowley. He hasn’t quite been at his best this campaign after a very successful one last season, however he did run a solid race on his penultimate start and this ease in Grade could well see him get in front again. Another horse that hasn’t quite been as good this term is the Sir Michael Stoute trained Convey (7/2). He’s had a couple of runs on turf this season in Group company but hasn’t been able to land a blow. Back on the All Weather here though could well spark a revival and he has the services of Kieran Shoemark in this particular affair. Big Country (7/2) has been thriving with life in the Michael Appelby yard and he’s once again teamed up with champion jockey Silvestre De Sousa here. He’s been overseas the last two starts and hasn’t really been at his best however he was seen to best effect when winning at Pontefract when last seen in the UK. Simon Crisford is represented by Archetype (5/1) here who won at this track last year, he’s also eased in Grade and despite not being able to get a win to his name this season so far, competing in the company could well see him play a part and the in form Oisin Murphy takes the ride. Glendevon (10/1) makes up the field for Richard Hughes who’s yet to win this term and has recently been gelded, Shane Kelly takes the ride.


VERDICT:


Many of these come here with questions surrounding them, Big Challenge will need to shrug off a 547 day absence, however you have to think there’s still a lot of potential there for his powerhouse connections to be persisting with him. Spark Plug is a huge player here on 2017 form, however the negative for him is likely to be the small field and what could well be a tactical race. Big Country if being let loose in front will be hard to peg back, however has to concede weight to the entire field. I’ve took a chance on CONVEY returning to the All Weather and bouncing back to winning ways. This should be a lot easier than what he’s been competing in as of late and the return back to this surface could well be what he needs. The negative for him is that he’s looking pretty exposed and there’s questions over whether he’s got much left in the locker.

CONVEY (7/2)


Convey.jpg


(Quick Picks)


Ayr


2.35:

AWESOME ALLAN (8/1) (E/W)

(Enjoys soft ground and on very lowly mark, smart player on his day and this is a weak contest.)

5.15:

CUBOMANIA (13/8)

(Done well since going jumping and could well be above current flat mark.)


 

 

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