Day 3 Bets & Race Verdicts. (JLT, Ryanair, Stayers) (Cheltenham 2019)

Day Three

Cheltenham Festival 2019


JLT

Thursday 14th March 2019

This year’s renewal of the JLT looks very likely to cut up with several of them likely to be rerouted elsewhere. The main two looking to be Glen Forsa and Topofthegame with the former going to the Arkle and the latter the RSA. Defi Du Seuil is currently the second favourite here however has been well backed for the Arkle, connections have appeared very vocal about him taking his place here though and should he do so he’s an obvious big player. Real Steel looks the strongest of the Irish Challenge for Willie Mullins, winner of his last two over fences and comes here bang in form. Kildisart won here on Trials Day for Ben Pauling which is solid course form and will make him a popular each way selection with punters. Kim Bailey has also now stated that Vinndication will take his place here having showed a nice piece of work this week, he’ll also be a popular each way selection with punters if rediscovering his form earlier in the season. For me though I have to stay loyal to LOSTINTRANSLATION for the Tizzards, he got beat the last day by Defi Du Seuil however got the better of that rival here on New Year’s Day. That’s solid form and despite not winning all that much connections think the world of this horse and it would be somewhat of a shock should he not run another solid race.

My Bet:

WIN: LOSTINTRANSLATION (3/1)


RYANAIR CHASE

Thursday 14th March 2019

The Ryanair Chase looks set to be one of the races of The Festival this year with a whole host of top class chasers on show. The main question at the minute seems to be which of the Mullins trio will turn up out of Footpad, Min and Un De Sceaux. Footpad has been propelled to the top of the market as of present and now finds himelf as short as 11/4 in places. Un De Sceaux is likely to turn up here as he contested this race the last two years winning it in 2017 and finishing second last year. That leaves Min to go to the Champion Chase, which is also questionable considering he’s faced Altior at two festivals now and been comfortably beaten twice. Monalee and Road To Respect are two other strong Irish contenders whom both are solid players. The best of the home challenge looks to be Paul Nicholls Frodon who’s already won twice around here this season and has been in rejuvenated form. With the forecast of rain and him looking the most likely to turn up here i’m going to take a chance on one of my all time favourites the old boy UN DE SCEAUX. He’s the only horse to of give Altior a race this term and bounced back from a slightly laboured performance in this last year with an immense win in the Punchestown Gold Cup where he got the better of Douvan and Min. If the rain falls which it is looking ever more likely to do I can see another bold showing from this outstanding racehorse who has only been out of the top two once when completing.

My Bet:

EACH WAY: UN DE SCEAUX (6/1)


STAYERS HURDLE

Thursday 14th March 2019

One of the more prestigious events of the week is the Stayers Hurdle, a race which the likes of Big Bucks made their own in years gone by. This year’s renewal see’s a potentially new star emerge and my idea of the winner and that’s PAISLEY PARK. Regular followers of this site will know I’ve become a massive fan of this horse this season and his last two victories really do show why. He followed up a fantastic win in the Long Walk hurdle with a demolition job here on Trials Day in the Cleeve Hurdle. It’s likely there is a lot more to come from Emma Lavelle’s star and he will take some beating here. If anyone was going to beat him i’d love it to be Faugheen, he’s one of my favourite horses of all time and I still think he has a bit more to give at this distance as he proved when bolting up in the Punchestown equivalent to this last season, his price has unfortunately been and gone now from an each way point of view but I certainly wouldn’t put you off backing “The Machine”. Last year’s Albert Bartlett winner Kilbricken Storm will be a popular each way pick as well will  last year’s Ballymore runner up Black Op. One I quite like as an each way alternative is Willie Mullins BAPAUME. He’s a horse that often goes under the radar but often runs big races as he proved last time when running a cracker against Presenting Percy in the Galmoy. If turning up in that kind of form again here he has every chance of outrunning his sizeable odds.

My Bet(s):

WIN: PAISLEY PARK (7/4)
EACH WAY: BAPAUME (25/1)


(Cheltenham 2019 Winning Tips So Far:)

ROKSANA (10/1 EW) (Mares Hurdle) (1st)
A PLUS TARD (8/1 EW) (Close Brothers) (1st)
DISCORAMA (7/1 EW) (NH Chase) (2nd)
SCEAU ROYAL (14/1 EW) (Champion Chase) (3rd)
TIGER ROLL (11/10) (Cross Country) (1st)
BAND OF OUTLAWS (5/1) (Fred Winter) (1st)
SIRE DU BERLAIS (6/1 EW) (Pertemps) (1st)
PAISLEY PARK (7/4) (Stayers) (1st)
BAPAUME (25/1 EW) (Stayers) (4th)
ALLAHO (12/1 EW) (Albert Bartlett) (3rd)
BRELAN D’AS (10/1 EW) (Grand Annual) (3rd)
DALLAS DES PICTONS (11/2 EW) (Martin Pipe) (2nd)

 

 

 

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