Thursday 17th January 2019
A big welcome to this week’s Dubai World Cup Carnival Preview as we look ahead to another fiercely competitive evening of racing under the bright lights of Meydan. Last week saw a whole host a wide margin victories including the mightily impressive Walking Thunder who bolted up to land the Preview pick. It promises to be another action packed evening of racing in Dubai this week so as ever sit back and enjoy the Preview!
16.15 (GMT) (Group 2) (7f)
The feature race on this Thursday’s card comes at 4.15 (GMT) and it’s a Group 2 contest for fillies and mares that’s ridden over a distance of a mile. As expected there’s a strong Godolphin presence in the race and the current market leader Poetic Charm sports the famous blue silks in her case for Charlie Appleby. She’s a smart filly who’s form peaked when claiming a Listed event at Longchamp last term, she can be found trading at a best priced of around 5/4 to replicate said victory in this particular assignment with James Doyle is in the saddle. Saeed bin Suroor is responsible for the other two Godolphin representatives in the line up and these come in the form of Asoof and Victory Wave. The former Asoof is a useful filly who’s no stranger to the winners enclosure as she’s an ultra consistent sort. She hasn’t been seen for 103 days but there’s every chance she’ll continue said consistent form here under Christophe Soumillon. Victory Wave has already had an outing here having finished a respectable sixth a couple of weeks ago in a handicap at the course. It’s likely she’ll be a lot fitter for that outing and the experience could stand her in good stead. Kevin Stott takes the ride.
Furia Cruzada is no stranger to this course and takes her place as the current second favourite behind the market principal. She’s on a fairly sizeable losing run that stretches back to 2017 and will need to bounce back from a slightly below par effort here last time. I actually spoke to Antonio Fresu on the site last year and there’s no hiding his affection for this horse and the partnership is once again renewed here and she’s certainly a player. Charlie Fellows’ Mia Tesoro will have to overcome a 111 day break from the track here and she’s the mount of Stevie Donohoe at around the 12/1 mark. Peri Lina and Monza conclude the line up.
I think Poetic Charm will probably win this if turning up on a going day and if Furia Cruzada turns up in form also she’s likely to give the jolly most to think about as the betting suggests. However if either of the above mentioned don’t fire for whatever reason i’d be happy to side with VICTORY WAVE at the prices. It was a nice enough introduction to this track last time and there’s every chance she’ll build on that here and prove she can be competitive at this level.
VICTORY WAVE – (7/1)
Ispolini will be a tough nut to crack here on the back of that fine second placed effort here last time, he’s a tad short though in the betting and i’ve tried to take him on with RED GALILEO (7/2) for Saeed bin Suroor. He’s got a 9 month absence to overcome however he’s a course and distance winner who also finished 6th in a Dubai Gold Cup behind Vazirabad.
This is an extremely competitive contest of which a case could be made for the majority of the field. I found it tough to separate two picks but I’ve decided to take a chance on DRACO (9/2). He looks a lot more unexposed than a lot of them and won both of his starts last term. He’ll need to step up on the form of those victories but he could well have a lot more to come. I certainly wouldn’t put you off backing Doug Watson’s Thegreatcollection who was the other horse in question for me.
Another very competitive affair of which Godolphin have many representatives in the line up and look to have a real grip on the contest. The one i’m going to side with is a Godolphin contender and that’s MOUNTAIN HUNTER (7/2) for Saeed bin Suroor. Very poor when last seen at Newmarket however he is a course and distance winner and if back on song he could make somewhat of a mockery of this mark under Soumillon.
It will come as no surprise that the card is signed off with another competitive looking handicap and that’s exactly the case here. Another race where the majority of the contenders have genuine chances and the one i’m taking a tentative alliance with is SUYOOF (8/1) for Mike de Kock. He’s a course winner who ran a mediocre race last time however said run was said to be a prep for this, he’ll likely play his hand late and try to pick up the pieces under Dane O’Neil.