I had a week off from doing this as I spent last weekend absolutely leathered in Germany, so I do apologise. But one is back this week and I am actually doing this after a 14 hour shift at work because lets be honest i’m an absolutley lovely lad. Hopefully we’ll get some big booms across the Newbury card starting with the 1.15 Class 3 novice hurdle, headed by Ben Pauling’s High Bridge currently trading at around 5/4 he’s won four of its last six starts and I believe he’ll make it five from seven here just getting the better of Phillip Hobbs’ Multiculture. The 1.50 is more difficult than some of the nasty CSA disputes you see on Judge Rinder, so anything could win this. Tobefair has won his last six so obviously justifies favouritism however i’d take an each way chance on outsider Rolling Maul, trading at around 10/1 he always stays the trip and with the champ Richard Johnson on board I think that could be a great pairing and a massive price for him, I certainly fancy him to get in the frame in an event like this. One of the big ones next in the Grade 1 Denman Chase, I tipped the winner in this last year at a decent price in Houblon des Obeaux (yeah I did have to google who it was), saying that last year’s renewal was that bad I reckon Denman could of still beat that lot now. Anyway i’d say this year’s is a lot better despite there only being three runners but betting wise it looks a match race between Native River and Bristol De Mai. Now, I’ve spent the majority of my Friday getting stressed out over this race, because I literally can’t seperate them, there are factors in either horse that outweigh each other and it’s really done my head in if truth be told. I think, and I emphasise dramatically on the ‘think’ Native River will just edge it. My reasoning for this is because Bristol De Mai, despite always being in the frame throughout his career can sometimes have a lesser performance in him whereas Native River you know what your going to get and he knows what he’s good at and he’ll do exactly that. I can’t wait for that race but i’m glad to move on to the 3.00 which is the Grade 2 chase headed by odds on shot and Arkle favourite Altior. I think we all expect Altior to win this on his way to the big one at Cheltenham however Fox Norton should give him a run for his money, he’s been very impressive when winning at Cheltenham however I don’t think he’ll have quite enough to topple Altior therefore an Altior win in this for me. It’s the feature next the Betfair Chase itself, headed by Nigel Twiston-Davies’ Ballyandy. Trading at generally around 4/1, Nige is said to be getting very excited about his apparant ‘gift’ rating in the weights, and to be fair it does read well. However I still don’t think he’ll win, he’ll probably get in the frame but preference for me in this is an outside chance in Noel Meades’ De Name Escapes Me. Trading at around 12/1 he has been off since Punchestown last April which probably is a concern but he was a very high profile novice before finishing 10th there and I believe he certainly has it in him to get in the frame here. A great each way bet for the feature.
Newbury Betfair Chase Meeting
10 Feb 2017