I was just going to post a big picture of Douvan with a smiley face after it for this post but since he’s now not going in the Tingle Creek I suppose a write up is necessary. I was going to do the Friday’s card as well however there is a lot of lets say filler races that to be quite frank anything could win. I’d probably say Ballyandy is the best bet of the Friday card in the 2.25, I think he’ll have the measure of his main danger in Messire Des Obeaux. On to Saturday and i’m again struggling to pinpoint anything in the first few races so i’m jumping all the way to the 1.55 Henry VIII Novice Chase which see’s the highly anticipated debut of The New One over the sticks if he doesn’t run at Exeter on Friday which is likely. However if he does go in this he comes up against Zarib, Marrcudja, Charbel and the hugely impressive Cheltenham Festival Supreme Novice winner Altior. I do think The New One could give Altior a race here but I don’t think it’ll be enough to beat him. Altior wins this for me hands down, I think The New One will be good enough to pip Charbel for second. Onto the 2.25 the Listed Hurdle Race where Modus heads the field as the 7/2 favourite. He ran extremely well last time at Cheltenham where I thought i’d backed him only to of forgot to place the bet online when finishing a close second. I’ll certainly make sure I back him in this though as I think he’s a great chance of taking it. I’d be fancying Paul Nicholls’ Zubayr at 7/1 as a good each way chance too but I think Modus will win this as he’s certainly the one to beat going off that Cheltenham run. The feature race next in the Tingle Creek itself and it’s headed by Willie Mullins’ Un De Sceaux who is trading at around 6/4. Un De Sceaux who was seemingly put in his place at Cheltenham in the Champion Chase and here in the Celebration Chase by Sprinter Sacre looked to bounce back in quite dramatic style when dominating over in Auteil before finishing a remote 6th at the same place when being tried over a longer trip. However he’s back down to 1m 7f in this and I think he could be deadly if allowed to dictate from the front. He dispatched of Sire De Grugy with no problem whatsoever last season at Ascot but they were much closer when Un De Sceaux was second after several jumping errors here in the Celebration Chase back in April. Sire De Grugy did win impressively at Ascot last time but I’m still of the impression that his days of dining at the top table are numbered and I don’t think he’ll be able to turn the form around against Un De Sceaux. The other Gary Moore horse in this is second favourite Ar Mad, winner of his last 4 starts he trades at around 11/4 however is officially rated 12 pounds inferior to Un De Sceaux. Vautour’s Punchestown Festival conqueror God’s Own is next in the market at 4/1 and I think is probably the best value in the race price wise. AP Heskin is on board for Tom George and I think he will be the main danger over the Moore horses to the favourite. Vibrato Valtat and Sir Valentino are the outsiders of the field at 16/1 and 33/1. All that said I think Un De Sceaux will win this, he’ll dictate from the front under Ruby Walsh and will bounce back to winning ways and take the Tingle Creek for Willie Mullins.
Sandown Tingle Creek Meeting 2016
1 Dec 2016